Q2 2025 Cost Index Report

01 August 2025
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The Q2 2025 Cost Index is holding at 227

Price trends are holding steady: the Producer Price Index (PPI) shows a 2.55% increase for electrical equipment manufacturing and a 1.71% rise for HVAC and commercial refrigeration systems. On the demand side, electrical equipment orders are up 2.2% with a 1.0% increase in shipments, pointing to stable project flow. The mechanical side continues to outperform, with orders jumping 19.6% and shipments up 22.5%, driven by high project volume and continued procurement strength.

Estimated Equipment Lead Times

Varies Due to Equipment Sizing

Previous14 - 30 wks
Current12 - 25 wks
Previous20 - 85 wks
Current12 - 75 wks
Previous16 - 50 wks
Current12 - 60 wks
Previous40 - 130 wks
Current40 - 130 wks
Previous45 - 90 wks
Current45 - 70 wks
Previous30 - 42 wks
Current30 - 42 wks
Previous10 - 16 wks
Current10 - 16 wks
Previous12 - 26 wks
Current12 - 26 wks

TARRIFF IMPACTS

Tariffs and trade policy continue to create significant challenges across the supply chain. Recent U.S. actions, including the introduction or expansion of tariffs on key components from China, have ongoing pressure on trade relationships with the EU and other global partners. In response, manufacturers are adapting by shifting sourcing strategies, relocating some assembly operations to the U.S., or, in some cases, absorbing increased shipping and logistics costs. These adjustments are contributing to greater price volatility, extended lead times, and added uncertainty around product availability. We anticipate limited clarity until late 2025 at the earliest, with HVAC and electrical packages currently experiencing the most significant impact.

YearAVG. INDEXPERCENT%
2004100Base Year
2010114-4.5%
20111172.5%
20121213.5%
20131242.5%
20141262.0%
20151271.0%
20161291.5%
20171333.0%
20181383.8%
20191423.0%
20201452.8%
202116110.3%
202218515.1%
202320410.4%
20242092.4%
20252278.6%
Average Index History

Cost Index

20042012

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